It’s a truism that every generation of consultants thinks their trainees will not be as good as them. The view is often that they do fewer hours, see less cases, seemingly show less understanding and appear less committed.
This week two research papers support this prejudice.
The first, in the BMJ, suggests that it takes about 20,000 hours of practice for a surgeon to master the specialty: 10,000 hours for the cognitive skills and 10,000 hours for the manual.
This equates to 4,000 hours a year over a five-year training programme.
The authors suggest that under a 48-hour week juniors are clocking up about 2,300 hours a year making it 11,500 over a five-year period.
They quote the classic sociological analysis of surgery Forgive and Remember, which states: “Surgery is a body contact sport, there is no question about it. You can’t be a good armchair surgeon.”
I think you can probably guess their conclusions.
Can you train a physician effectively in 11,500 hours of practice? I’ll leave that one for you to decide, but the quiet acceptance of the 48-hour week by the non-surgical royal colleges speaks volumes.
The second research paper this week highlighting the frailties of the next generation was to be found in the pages of the journal Health Policy. It examined senior doctors’ perceptions of whether their medical graduates were ready to become doctors.
The answer was a resounding “no”. Consultants and SpRs in two teaching hospitals gave less than flattering feed back on a wide range of practical and clinical skills, from the ability to perform basic respiratory function tests to prescribing and advanced communication.
The authors in part blame the GMC guidance - Tomorrow’s Doctors - for not being more prescriptive about the skills newly qualified doctors require.
Should we smile at this time honoured tradition of underestimating the younger generation, or should we be genuinely worried?
After all, the good old bad days weren’t that good. The hours might have been longer, the commitment necessarily high, but who knows what the standards were like at times.
Of course, the other big difference was that medicine itself was simpler 20 or 30 years ago. Modern medicine is infinitely more complex and interventional, which creates another problem.
At the same time as working hours are being reduced and training re-modelled, practice is advancing and becoming more technical and specialist. And that’s without even considering the impact of the downturn on the NHS and how that will affect training and staffing budgets in the future. Or, more consumerist and demanding patients.
This level of change is the problem and we should indeed be worried about our future standards of care.
Few organisations are fronting up to the problem in public. In an increasingly consultant-led and delivered healthcare system, we are in real danger of having under-cooked trainees. Improved training techniques and use of technology are only going to go so far. There isn’t going to be a significant extension to work hours once more regardless of what government is in power.
So the answers lie in either an extension to training or the creation of some half-arsed sub-consultant grade. I know which I think is better for both the profession and patients.

